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Stadium Background

Chauray vs La Roche Vendee

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chauray play La Roche Vendee in the National 2 - Group A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chauray averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. La Roche Vendee averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Chauray won 1, La Roche Vendee won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Chauray and 1.44 for La Roche Vendee. This points to a La Roche Vendee double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Chauray
15%
Draws
53%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Chauray picked up more points recently compared to La Roche Vendee.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Chauray Clean Sheet 16%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 2 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Chauray
4:1
Jan 17, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Chauray vs La Roche Vendee
0:1
Nov 17, 2012 Coupe de France
La Roche Vendee vs Chauray
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 32 / 100
La Roche Vendee 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray La Roche Vendee

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (2)
Secondary Pick La Roche Vendee & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chauray attacking → ← attacking La Roche Vendee

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chauray scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

La Roche Vendee let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Chauray went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

La Roche Vendee lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 65
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325