Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chauray vs La Roche Vendee

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ndiaye M.

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Roche Vendee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Chauray
30%
Draws
51%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee have won more games recently than Chauray.
  • Model gives La Roche Vendee a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and La Roche Vendee have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Chauray Clean Sheet 16%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.21 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 National 1 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Chauray
4:1
Jan 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs La Roche Vendee
0:1
Nov 17, 2012 Coupe de France
La Roche Vendee vs Chauray
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 15 / 100
La Roche Vendee 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray La Roche Vendee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Chauray found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

La Roche Vendee has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Chauray remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS La Roche Vendee
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chauray

(Home)
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
24 Apr
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Chauray
Page 1 of 6

La Roche Vendee

(Away)
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
14 Aug
Amiens SC
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Versailles
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)