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Chauray vs Le Poire Sur Vie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B
Sat, Dec 5, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chauray host Le Poire Sur Vie in the National 1 - Group B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Chauray have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Le Poire Sur Vie's 0.89 scored and 1.78 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.56) point toward Chauray. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Chauray
20%
Draws
73%
Le Poire Sur Vie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Le Poire Sur Vie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chauray lately — more wins on the board than Le Poire Sur Vie.
  • Model gives Le Poire Sur Vie a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chauray Clean Sheet 15%
Le Poire Sur Vie Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray Le Poire Sur Vie
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 10 / 100
Le Poire Sur Vie 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray Le Poire Sur Vie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Le Poire Sur Vie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Poire Sur Vie has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Chauray scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Chauray went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Le Poire Sur Vie has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS Le Poire Sur Vie
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chauray

(Home)
06 Nov
Chauray
0 : 0
Bayonne
31 Oct
Tarbes
2 : 1
Chauray
17 Oct
St. Colomban Locmine
3 : 1
Chauray
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
Page 1 of 6

Le Poire Sur Vie

(Away)
30 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
17 Oct
Angouleme CFC
2 : 1
Le Poire Sur Vie
03 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Le Poire Sur Vie
2 : 0
Saumur Olympique
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 9 7 2 0 14:5 23
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
6 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
7 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
8 Saint-Malo 9 3 3 3 10:8 12
9 Les Herbiers 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
10 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
11 Stade Briochin 9 2 4 3 10:10 10
12 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 9 0 2 7 5:16 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)