Sport Picks
Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Sofia 2
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
Chavdar Etropole host Septemvri Sofia 2 in the Third League - South-West 2023/2024. This has Septemvri Sofia 2 written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Chavdar Etropole at 0.83 goals for, 2.53 against; Septemvri Sofia 2 at 1.44 for, 0.78 against. Past meetings favor Chavdar Etropole slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2024, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 2.00) point toward Septemvri Sofia 2. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chavdar Etropole haven't matched Septemvri Sofia 2's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Sofia 2 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chavdar Etropole | Septemvri Sofia 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 10 |
| Losses | 24 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Chavdar Etropole scored in 30% of their last 30 games.
Septemvri Sofia 2 let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.
Solid form: Chavdar Etropole remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chavdar Etropole
(Home)Septemvri Sofia 2
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minyor Pernik | 38 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 78:29 | 97 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 68:39 | 80 |
| 3 | Botev Ihtiman | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 70:52 | 67 |
| 4 | Vihren | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 66:46 | 66 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 52:47 | 58 |
| 6 | Levski Sofia II | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 61:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Rilski Sportist | 38 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 58:61 | 52 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 63:62 | 50 |
| 9 | CSKA 1948 Sofia III | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 57:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Bansko | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 50:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 50:46 | 48 |
| 12 | Bistritsa | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 30:35 | 47 |
| 13 | Kyustendil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 53:54 | 46 |
| 14 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 54:64 | 46 |
| 15 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 58:75 | 46 |
| 16 | Septemvri Simitli | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 48:50 | 45 |
| 17 | Pirin Razlog | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 38:55 | 45 |
| 18 | Kostinbrod | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:63 | 43 |
| 19 | Hebar 2 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 35:63 | 33 |
| 20 | Chavdar Etropole | 38 | 13 | 2 | 23 | 46:74 | 41 |
