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Chavdar Troyan vs Marek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Petkov M.
16' Event
Lyubomirov V.
34' Event
Goranov D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chavdar Troyan
20%
Draws
40%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Marek have won more games recently than Chavdar Troyan.
  • Marek are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Marek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marek, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%
Marek Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Marek
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.83 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Chavdar Troyan vs Marek
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chavdar Troyan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyubomirov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 24 / 100
Marek 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Chavdar Troyan's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chavdar Troyan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marek let in goals in 44% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Marek
0.57 Goals Scored 0.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
43% Over 1.5 25%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -