Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Troyan in this Third League - North-West matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chavdar Troyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chavdar Troyan
15%
Draws
0%
Pavlikeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Troyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pavlikeni lately — more wins on the board than Chavdar Troyan.
  • Win probability leans Chavdar Troyan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Pavlikeni
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Pavlikeni
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 40 / 100
Pavlikeni 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Pavlikeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chavdar Troyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavlikeni's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chavdar Troyan scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Pavlikeni let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Chavdar Troyan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Pavlikeni
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
43% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

Pavlikeni

(Away)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Spartak Pleven II 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
11 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)