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Chavdar Troyan vs Sitomir

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2012/2013 game between Chavdar Troyan and Sitomir finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Chavdar Troyan
20%
Draws
0%
Sitomir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chavdar Troyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chavdar Troyan come out ahead of Sitomir on wins alone.
  • Chavdar Troyan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%
Sitomir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Sitomir
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 7 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 26
Goals Scored 1.04 0.66
Goals Conceded 2.79 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Sitomir
0:0
Aug 26, 2012 Third League - North-West
Sitomir vs Chavdar Troyan
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 85 / 100
Sitomir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Sitomir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chavdar Troyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sitomir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Sitomir registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chavdar Troyan scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Sitomir
0.57 Goals Scored 0.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 2.63
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 100%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
22 Aug
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
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Sitomir

(Away)
31 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Pavlikeni
23 May
Juventus Malchika
3 : 0
Sitomir
17 May
Sitomir
0 : 3
Spartak Pleven
13 May
Bdin Vidin
3 : 0
Sitomir
10 May
Parva Atomna
3 : 0
Sitomir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)