Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chavdar Troyan vs Tryavna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tryavna in this Third League - North-West 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tryavna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chavdar Troyan
15%
Draws
0%
Tryavna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Troyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chavdar Troyan lately — more wins on the board than Tryavna.
  • Win probability leans Chavdar Troyan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Tryavna
Matches Played 29 41
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 30
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2013 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Tryavna
1:2
Oct 28, 2012 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Chavdar Troyan
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 85 / 100
Tryavna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Tryavna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chavdar Troyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tryavna let in goals in 88% of their last 41 matches.

Tryavna lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Chavdar Troyan found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Tryavna
0.57 Goals Scored 0.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 3.5
43% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

Tryavna

(Away)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 22 16 2 4 61:14 50
2 Parva Atomna 22 15 4 3 46:15 49
3 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 14 1 7 56:28 43
4 Dunav Selanovtsi 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
5 Lokomotiv Mezdra 1929 22 11 1 10 42:38 34
6 Gorna 22 9 4 9 40:26 31
7 OFK Levski 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Belene 22 9 2 11 30:27 29
9 Sitomir 22 7 6 9 29:37 27
10 Chavdar Troyan 22 5 4 13 25:70 19
11 Tryavna 22 3 3 16 17:61 12
12 Balkan Belogradchik 22 1 7 14 19:65 10
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)