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Chaves B vs Braga B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Aragao J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Chaves B and Braga B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chaves B
20%
Draws
44%
Braga B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Braga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves B haven't matched Braga B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chaves B's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Braga B have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 17%
Braga B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves B Braga B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Braga B
0:1
Jan 18, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Braga B
1:1
Aug 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Braga B vs Chaves B
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Braga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragao J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves B 41 / 100
Braga B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves B Braga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaves B's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Braga B let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chaves B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaves B VS Braga B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves B

(Home)
01 Nov
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Chaves B
25 Oct
Chaves B
0 : 1
Braga B
11 Oct
Brito
0 : 4
Chaves B
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

Braga B

(Away)
01 Nov
Braga B
2 : 2
Vila Mea
25 Oct
Chaves B
0 : 1
Braga B
11 Oct
Braga B
3 : 2
Tirsense
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)