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Chaves B vs Celoricense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event

AI Match Summary

Chaves B in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chaves B
15%
Draws
45%
Celoricense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celoricense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves B average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Celoricense's 1.1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 20%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves B Celoricense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Celoricense
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs Celoricense
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Chaves B
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves B 32 / 100
Celoricense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves B Celoricense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Chaves B's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Chaves B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Celoricense let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chaves B VS Celoricense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves B

(Home)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Vinhais
1 : 2
Chaves B
23 Aug
Chaves B
1 : 0
Rebordosa
16 Aug
AD Limianos
3 : 1
Chaves B
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
Page 1 of 7

Celoricense

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Tirsense 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chaves B 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
4 Braga B 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
5 Vila Mea 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
6 AD Limianos 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
7 Celoricense 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
8 CDC Montalegre 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
9 Rebordosa 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
10 Brito 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Ponte da Barca 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
12 Maria de Fonte 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
13 Maia Lidador 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Vinhais 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)