Sport Picks
Chaves B vs Desportivo Moncao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Chaves B and Desportivo Moncao finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Chaves B come out ahead of Desportivo Moncao on wins alone.
- Model gives Chaves B a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chaves B | Desportivo Moncao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chaves B Compare
Desportivo Moncao Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Desportivo Moncao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.
Desportivo Moncao's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Chaves B scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chaves B
(Home)Desportivo Moncao
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GD Braganca | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:29 | 48 |
| 2 | SC Vianense | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 49:28 | 48 |
| 3 | Brito | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 36:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Celoricense | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 35:23 | 42 |
| 5 | AD Limianos | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 35:32 | 41 |
| 6 | Tirsense | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 31:22 | 40 |
| 7 | Camacha | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34:26 | 36 |
| 8 | Chaves B | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40:29 | 36 |
| 9 | Machico | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 28:30 | 36 |
| 10 | Sao Martinho | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 22:31 | 34 |
| 11 | SC Mirandela | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 21:29 | 32 |
| 12 | Vilaverdense FC | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 15:31 | 21 |
| 13 | CD Ribeira Brava | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20:46 | 20 |
| 14 | Desportivo Moncao | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 26:53 | 17 |
