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Chaves B vs SC Mirandela

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Djalo A.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Cordes D.
62'
Eboudje B.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Chaves B and SC Mirandela finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Mirandela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chaves B
17%
Draws
13%
SC Mirandela
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Mirandela carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chaves B a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Chaves B Clean Sheet 68%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves B SC Mirandela
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs SC Mirandela
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Chaves B
2:1
May 10, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Chaves B
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Chaves B vs SC Mirandela
4:1
Feb 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Chaves B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SC Mirandela Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordes D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonnathan Lima
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves B 77 / 100
SC Mirandela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves B SC Mirandela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaves B scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

SC Mirandela let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chaves B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaves B VS SC Mirandela
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves B

(Home)
08 Jul
Chaves
1 : 0
Chaves B
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
12 Apr
Chaves B
1 : 1
GD Braganca
04 Apr
Chaves B
3 : 0
AD Limianos
22 Mar
Desportivo Moncao
1 : 4
Chaves B
Page 1 of 6

SC Mirandela

(Away)
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
SC Mirandela
22 Mar
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
Tirsense
15 Mar
Chaves B
1 : 2
SC Mirandela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GD Braganca26146641:2948
2SC Vianense26146649:2848
3Brito26144836:2446
4Celoricense26119635:2342
5AD Limianos26118735:3241
6Tirsense26913431:2240
7Camacha2699834:2636
8Chaves B2699840:2936
9Machico261061028:3036
10Sao Martinho261041222:3134
11SC Mirandela261021421:2932
12Vilaverdense FC26491315:3121
13CD Ribeira Brava26481420:4620
14Desportivo Moncao26451726:5317
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)