Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chaves U19 vs FC Porto U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ferreira E.
55' Event
Silva T.
90' Event
Peixoto T.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Chaves U19 and FC Porto U19 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chaves U19
6%
Draws
90%
FC Porto U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Porto U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chaves U19 haven't matched FC Porto U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Porto U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Porto U19 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves U19 FC Porto U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 23
Draws 9 4
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.25 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs FC Porto U19
0:3
Aug 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Chaves U19
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs FC Porto U19
0:3
Aug 10, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Chaves U19
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Chaves U19
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Porto U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves U19 10 / 100
FC Porto U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves U19 FC Porto U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

FC Porto U19 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Chaves U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chaves U19 scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chaves U19 VS FC Porto U19
1.25 Goals Scored 3.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Porto U1918161162:1949
2Gil Vicente U1918102631:2332
3Rio Ave U1918101732:3131
4Famalicao U191893635:2930
5Vitoria Guimaraes U191883722:2727
6Braga U191883732:2627
7Vizela U191854930:3919
8Pacos Ferreira U191854922:3719
9Moreirense U1918441020:2716
10Chaves U1918051310:385
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U1918106231:1436
2Leiria U191886430:2330
3Sporting CP U191885527:1529
4Santa Clara U191877424:1728
5Academico Viseu U191859423:1924
6Torreense U191864817:2022
7Alverca U191863923:2621
8Belenenses U191855813:2320
9Tondela U191845911:2617
10Mafra U191836922:3815