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Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lima L.
79' Event
Luis E. M.
85' Event
Moreira R.

AI Match Summary

Chaves U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chaves U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chaves U19
30%
Draws
23%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 have won more games recently than Chaves U19.
  • Chaves U19 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luis E. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves U19 38 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Chaves U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chaves U19 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 2.13
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves U19

(Home)
25 Apr
Chaves U19
0 : 0
Moreirense U19
11 Apr
Braga U19
4 : 2
Chaves U19
03 Apr
Chaves U19
2 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
14 Mar
Chaves U19
3 : 2
Pacos Ferreira U19
07 Mar
Vizela U19
2 : 2
Chaves U19
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Vitoria Guimaraes U19

(Away)
26 Sept
Famalicao U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 2
Braga U19
12 Sept
Rio Ave U19
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
22 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 1
Famalicao U19
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