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Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lima L.
79' Event
Luis E. M.
85' Event
Moreira R.

AI Match Summary

Chaves U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chaves U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chaves U19
17%
Draws
13%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chaves U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Vitoria Guimaraes U19 have won more games recently than Chaves U19.
  • Chaves U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chaves U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
2:1
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Chaves U19 vs Vitoria Guimaraes U19
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 vs Chaves U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chaves U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luis E. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves U19 65 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves U19 Vitoria Guimaraes U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Chaves U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Vitoria Guimaraes U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chaves U19 VS Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%