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Chaves vs CF Andorinha

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Norte 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chaves play CF Andorinha in the Second Division - Zona Norte 2010/2011. Chaves are favorites here. Recently, Chaves averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. CF Andorinha averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Chaves won 1, CF Andorinha won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Chaves and 1.13 for CF Andorinha. This points to a Chaves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Chaves
15%
Draws
29%
CF Andorinha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Chaves picked up more points recently compared to CF Andorinha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Chaves Clean Sheet 21%
CF Andorinha Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves CF Andorinha
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.26 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Chaves vs CF Andorinha
2:1
Dec 19, 2010 Second Division - Zona Norte
CF Andorinha vs Chaves
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 55 / 100
CF Andorinha 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves CF Andorinha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Chaves & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chaves attacking → ← attacking CF Andorinha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaves scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

CF Andorinha let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Chaves went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CF Andorinha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 27
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1U. Madeira30207353:1867
2Tirsense301510540:2655
3Chaves301312534:2151
4AD Fafe301371040:3346
5AD Lousada301371046:4046
6Maritimo B301111836:2544
7Vizela301013736:2943
8Macedo de Cavaleiros301110934:2943
9Camacha301181134:3541
10Oliveirense301181131:3741
11Merelinense301171231:3240
12Ribeirao30912938:2939
13CF Canical30961532:4233
14CF Andorinha30771630:5528
15GD Braganca30462024:5318
16AD Pontassolense30291920:5515