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Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chaves and Vitoria Guimaraes B finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria Guimaraes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Chaves
20%
Draws
36%
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Chaves's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Vitoria Guimaraes B have produced (1.24).
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chaves Clean Sheet 15%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
2:3
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:3
Jul 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
3:1
Mar 5, 2016 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 35 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes B 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves Vitoria Guimaraes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Chaves scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Vitoria Guimaraes B let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Chaves went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

(Home)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
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Vitoria Guimaraes B

(Away)
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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