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Chayka Zelva vs Ivatsevichi

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chayka Zelva play Ivatsevichi in the Division 2 - Group A. Ivatsevichi are favorites here. Recently, Chayka Zelva averaged 0.74 goals scored and 4.7 conceded. Ivatsevichi averaged 1.97 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. In past meetings, Chayka Zelva won 0, Ivatsevichi won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 12, 2020 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.08 for Chayka Zelva and 2.48 for Ivatsevichi. This points to a Ivatsevichi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Chayka Zelva
15%
Draws
68%
Ivatsevichi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivatsevichi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Chayka Zelva picked up more points recently compared to Ivatsevichi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.08 vs 2.48 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Chayka Zelva Clean Sheet 10%
Ivatsevichi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chayka Zelva Ivatsevichi
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.74 1.97
Goals Conceded 4.7 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.71 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Chayka Zelva vs Ivatsevichi
1:2
Jun 20, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Ivatsevichi vs Chayka Zelva
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chayka Zelva Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogurtsov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ivatsevichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shmygalev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarasenya A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chayka Zelva 17 / 100
Ivatsevichi 63 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chayka Zelva Ivatsevichi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivatsevichi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ivatsevichi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chayka Zelva attacking → ← attacking Ivatsevichi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chayka Zelva scored in 48% of their last 23 games.

Ivatsevichi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Chayka Zelva went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ivatsevichi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 32
1.29 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Molodechno20153259:1848
2FK Baranovici20142474:2444
3Stanles Pinsk20134361:2443
4Brest Malorita20132571:2941
5Ostrovets20112748:2535
6Meliorator Zhitkovichi20112743:2935
7Ivatsevichi20821042:5226
8BGU Minsk20431335:4515
9Pershiy Region20421417:7814
10Kronon Stolbtsy20261222:6512
11Chayka Zelva20021812:952