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Chayka Zelva vs Ostrovets

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Butko A.
28' Event
Shchegrikovich S.
33' Event
Butko A.

AI Match Summary

Ostrovets in this Division 2 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Chayka Zelva
15%
Draws
65%
Ostrovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ostrovets have won more games recently than Chayka Zelva.
  • Ostrovets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chayka Zelva Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chayka Zelva Ostrovets
Matches Played 23 43
Wins 1 19
Draws 2 11
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.74 2.02
Goals Conceded 4.7 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Chayka Zelva vs Ostrovets
0:5
May 10, 2020 Division 2 - Group A
Ostrovets vs Chayka Zelva
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chayka Zelva Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Ostrovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Butko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kupnevskiy D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chayka Zelva 10 / 100
Ostrovets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chayka Zelva Ostrovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Ostrovets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 43 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chayka Zelva scored in 48% of their last 23 outings.

Recent resilience: Chayka Zelva stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ostrovets
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chayka Zelva

(Home)
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
03 Oct
Chayka Zelva
0 : 5
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Chayka Zelva
1 : 2
BGU Minsk
19 Sept
Kronon Stolbtsy
4 : 2
Chayka Zelva
Page 1 of 5

Ostrovets

(Away)
26 Sept
Uni X Labs
1 : 1
Ostrovets
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
Ostrovets
3 : 1
FC Gomel 2
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
29 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0
Volna Pinsk
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Molodechno 20 15 3 2 59:18 48
2 FK Baranovici 20 14 2 4 74:24 44
3 Stanles Pinsk 20 13 4 3 61:24 43
4 Brest Malorita 20 13 2 5 71:29 41
5 Ostrovets 20 11 2 7 48:25 35
6 Meliorator Zhitkovichi 20 11 2 7 43:29 35
7 Ivatsevichi 20 8 2 10 42:52 26
8 BGU Minsk 20 4 3 13 35:45 15
9 Pershiy Region 20 4 2 14 17:78 14
10 Kronon Stolbtsy 20 2 6 12 22:65 12
11 Chayka Zelva 20 0 2 18 12:95 2
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)