Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chayka Zelva vs Zhlobin

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Play Offs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chayka Zelva
15%
Draws
42%
Zhlobin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chayka Zelva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Zhlobin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chayka Zelva are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Zhlobin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chayka Zelva, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chayka Zelva Clean Sheet 16%
Zhlobin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chayka Zelva Zhlobin
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 2 1
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 0.74 1.03
Goals Conceded 4.7 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Zhlobin vs Chayka Zelva
3:2
Oct 17, 2020 Division 2 - Play Offs
Chayka Zelva vs Zhlobin
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chayka Zelva 48 / 100
Zhlobin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chayka Zelva Zhlobin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chayka Zelva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhlobin let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Zhlobin registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chayka Zelva scored in 48% of their last 23 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chayka Zelva VS Zhlobin
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chayka Zelva

(Home)
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
03 Oct
Chayka Zelva
0 : 5
Ostrovets
26 Sept
Chayka Zelva
1 : 2
BGU Minsk
19 Sept
Kronon Stolbtsy
4 : 2
Chayka Zelva
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Zhlobin

(Away)
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
3 : 2
Zhlobin
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
10 Oct
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
3 : 2
Zhlobin
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Brest Malorita 7
Gorki 2
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 4
Ostrovets 12
Meliorator Zhitkovichi 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Ivatsevichi 9
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 8
BGU Minsk 3
BumProm Gomel 2
Pershiy Region 0
Polotsk 6
Kronon Stolbtsy 4
Energetik-BGATU 3
Chayka Zelva 5
Zhlobin 3