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Chebel Citizens vs AS Vacoas

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Chebel Citizens Logo

Chebel Citizens

1 - 0
FT
AS Vacoas Logo

AS Vacoas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chebel Citizens in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chebel Citizens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Chebel Citizens
20%
Draws
17%
AS Vacoas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Chebel Citizens have won more games recently than AS Vacoas.
  • Chebel Citizens are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chebel Citizens have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 20%
AS Vacoas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chebel Citizens AS Vacoas
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Chebel Citizens
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs AS Vacoas
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Chebel Citizens
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs AS Vacoas
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Chebel Citizens
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chebel Citizens 85 / 100
AS Vacoas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chebel Citizens AS Vacoas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AS Vacoas conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Chebel Citizens remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Chebel Citizens found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chebel Citizens VS AS Vacoas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chebel Citizens

(Home)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 7

AS Vacoas

(Away)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
26 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Riviere Du Rempart
19 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 2
La Cure Waves
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
AS Vacoas
2 : 3
Port Louis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)