Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chebel Citizens vs Cercle De Joachim

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cercle De Joachim in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cercle De Joachim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chebel Citizens
35%
Draws
27%
Cercle De Joachim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chebel Citizens lately — more wins on the board than Cercle De Joachim.
  • Model gives Chebel Citizens a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 20%
Cercle De Joachim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chebel Citizens Cercle De Joachim
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 17 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Super League
Cercle De Joachim vs Chebel Citizens
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Cercle De Joachim
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Cercle De Joachim
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Super League
Cercle De Joachim vs Chebel Citizens
3:0
Jun 23, 2024 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Cercle De Joachim
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chebel Citizens 49 / 100
Cercle De Joachim 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chebel Citizens Cercle De Joachim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chebel Citizens has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chebel Citizens's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cercle De Joachim has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chebel Citizens VS Cercle De Joachim
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chebel Citizens

(Home)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
Page 1 of 7

Cercle De Joachim

(Away)
28 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Port Louis
24 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Petite Riviere
19 Apr
Riviere Du Rempart
0 : 3
Cercle De Joachim
15 Apr
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
1 : 4
Cercle De Joachim
15 Mar
Pamplemousses
3 : 2
Cercle De Joachim
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)