Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021

Chelmianka Chelm

4 - 0

Hetman Zamosc

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Bonin G.

48'

Gradz M.

64'

Mysliwiecki P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 game between Chelmianka Chelm and Hetman Zamosc finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Chelmianka Chelm

11%

Draws

Hetman Zamosc

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Chelmianka Chelm come out ahead of Hetman Zamosc on wins alone.
Model gives Chelmianka Chelm a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular III Liga - Group IV 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 68%

Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chelmianka Chelm	Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	17	4
Draws	7	1
Losses	6	24
Goals Scored	2	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	0
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2021 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Hetman Zamosc

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

4:0

Nov 25, 2020 III Liga - Group IV

Hetman Zamosc vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

2:7

May 30, 2020 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Hetman Zamosc

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Nov 2, 2019 III Liga - Group IV

Hetman Zamosc vs Chelmianka Chelm

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

May 25, 2016 III Liga - Group VIII

Chelmianka Chelm vs Hetman Zamosc

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonin G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gradz M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmianka Chelm 86 / 100

Hetman Zamosc 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chelmianka Chelm Hetman Zamosc

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmianka Chelm found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Hetman Zamosc conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chelmianka Chelm remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chelmianka Chelm VS Hetman Zamosc

2 Goals Scored 0.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wisla Pulawy	40	30	6	4	100:31	96
2	Chelmianka Chelm	40	22	7	11	70:45	73
3	Sokol Sieniawa	40	21	10	9	62:37	73
4	Stal Stalowa Wola	40	22	7	11	77:44	73
5	Avia Swidnik	40	20	10	10	88:40	70
6	Wisloka Debica	40	20	10	10	75:45	70
7	Podhale Nowy Targ	40	18	11	11	58:49	65
8	Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska	40	18	8	14	74:58	62
9	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	40	19	4	17	63:50	61
10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	40	17	8	15	59:52	59
11	Cracovia II	40	15	9	16	56:49	54
12	Sandomierz	40	15	9	16	53:62	54
13	LKS Lagow	40	14	10	16	57:62	52
14	Biala Podlaska	40	14	6	20	60:84	48
15	Orleta Radzyn	40	14	5	21	58:71	47
16	Lewart Lubartow	40	11	13	16	46:48	46
17	Wiazownica	40	13	7	20	53:81	46
18	Korona Kielce II	40	12	6	22	50:78	42
19	Stal Krasnik	40	10	12	18	51:58	42
20	Jutrzenka Giebultow	40	7	7	26	48:109	28
21	Hetman Zamosc	40	3	5	32	35:140	14