Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisloka Debica

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kuzdra J.
66' Event
Tomczyk P.
75' Event
Lanucha D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Chelmianka Chelm and Wisloka Debica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chelmianka Chelm
20%
Draws
42%
Wisloka Debica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wisloka Debica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Chelmianka Chelm carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%
Wisloka Debica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelmianka Chelm Wisloka Debica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisloka Debica
2:1
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Wisloka Debica vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisloka Debica
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Wisloka Debica
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Wisloka Debica vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzdra J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomczyk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Wisloka Debica Compare

Top Goalscorer Lanucha D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmianka Chelm 31 / 100
Wisloka Debica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelmianka Chelm Wisloka Debica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmianka Chelm found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Chelmianka Chelm stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Wisloka Debica has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chelmianka Chelm VS Wisloka Debica
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmianka Chelm

(Home)
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
29 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
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Wisloka Debica

(Away)
25 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
1 : 2
Wisloka Debica
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3
Wisloka Debica
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Biala Podlaska
29 Aug
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 0
Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 10 8 2 0 16:3 26
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 9 5 4 0 14:6 19
3 Czarni Polaniec 10 6 1 3 17:15 19
4 Wisloka Debica 10 6 1 3 14:12 19
5 Wislanie Skawina 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
6 Naprzod Jedrzejow 10 5 2 3 24:20 17
7 Jaroslaw 9 5 1 3 24:15 16
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
9 Wisla II 10 3 4 3 13:13 13
10 Kolbuszowa Dolna 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
11 Biala Podlaska 10 3 2 5 8:11 11
12 Busko-Zdroj 10 3 2 5 14:21 11
13 Hetman Zamosc 9 2 4 3 16:17 10
14 Star Starachowice 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
15 Korona Kielce II 10 2 2 6 21:26 8
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 10 2 2 6 9:14 8
17 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 10 2 1 7 10:19 7
18 Moravia Morawica 9 2 0 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)