Sport Picks
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead
England
National League South Melbourne Stadium, Chelmsford 
Match Events
41'
41'
Achuba M.
45'
45'
Alexander G.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Chelmsford and Maidenhead finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmsford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmsford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chelmsford come out ahead of Maidenhead on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 20%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmsford | Maidenhead |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League South
Maidenhead vs Chelmsford
2:1
Mar 6, 2017 National League South
Chelmsford vs Maidenhead
0:1
Aug 20, 2016 National League South
Maidenhead vs Chelmsford
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelmsford Compare
Top Goalscorer Alexander G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Maidenhead Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmsford 31 / 100
Maidenhead 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmsford Maidenhead
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmsford's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Recent resilience: Chelmsford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Maidenhead let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Chelmsford VS Maidenhead
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmsford
(Home) 12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1 Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3 Chelmsford
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Truro
25 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 3 Eastbourne Borough
11 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
Maidenhead
(Away) 12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2 Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4 Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
31 Aug
Maidenhead
1 : 1 AFC Totton
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Maidenhead
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0 Maidenhead
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0 Maidenhead
01 Aug
Brackley
1 : 0 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
