Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelmsford vs Ware

England England

FA Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelmsford in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chelmsford
30%
Draws
28%
Ware
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelmsford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Chelmsford have won more games recently than Ware.
  • Chelmsford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Chelmsford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelmsford, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 18%
Ware Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelmsford Ware
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 1
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.86 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2023 FA Cup
Chelmsford vs Ware
2:1
Sep 16, 2023 FA Cup
Ware vs Chelmsford
3:3
Jul 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Ware vs Chelmsford
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmsford 76 / 100
Ware 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelmsford Ware

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmsford's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ware's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Chelmsford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelmsford VS Ware
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmsford

(Home)
29 Aug
Chelmsford
1 : 0
Maidenhead
22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1
Chelmsford
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Truro
08 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Chelmsford
14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

Ware

(Away)
29 Aug
Ware
2 : 1
Brightlingsea
14 Jul
Ware
2 : 4
Hendon
07 Jul
Ware
1 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
06 Sept
Ware
1 : 5
Hadley
22 Jul
Ware
3 : 1
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Workington 6
Prestwich Heys 0
Farsley -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clitheroe 1
Hyde 2
Brighouse Town 2
Albion Sports 4
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Guiseley 0
Marine 3
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Consett 0
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Worksop 4
Sheffield FC 1
Rushall -
TBD -
Nuneaton 1
Carlton Town 2
Boston United -
TBD -
Leamington 2
Coleshill Town 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sherwood Colliery 1
Worcester 2
Leek Town 5
Grimsby Borough 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Bishop Auckland 2
West Auckland Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 3
Hanley Town 0
Biggleswade FC 8
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Leighton Town 1
Cambridge City 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Hashtag 1
Brentwood 0
Romania 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 5
New Salamis FC 1
Barton 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Concord Rangers 1
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Mildenhall 0
Sudbury 5
Hullbridge 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 5
Darlaston Town (1874) 4
Cleethorpes 2
Hinckley LR 1
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bamber Bridge 0
Mossley AFC 4
Widnes FC 2
AFC Emley 5
Whickham 1
Macclesfield 4
TBD -
Buxton -
United of Manchester 1
Barnoldswick Town 0
Warrington Rylands 1
Stockton 0
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 2
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Chester -
Nantwich 3
Shifnal Town 2
TBD -
Banbury -
Rugby 0
Barwell 2
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 3
Dereham 2
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Goole 0
Whitby 6
Prescot Cables 4
North Ferriby FC 2
Morpeth 3
Radcliffe 2
TBD -
Southport -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Charnock Richard 4
Runcorn Linnets 5
TBD -
Chorley -
Telford 0
Coalville Town 1
Stafford 2
Atherstone 0
Tamworth -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Stamford 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 2
Witton Albion 1
Ossett United 0
Marske United 3
Ashton United 3
Dunston 1
FC Guisborough Town 0
Atherton Collieries 4
Long Eaton 1
Stourbridge 3
Gainsborough 3
Matlock 6
Mickleover 3
Ilkeston 0
Stratford 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Westfield 0
Faversham 0
Lewes 4
Southall FC 5
Beaconsfield Town 4
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
TBD -
Torquay -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hungerford 4
Petersfield 0
Reading City 3
Shaftesbury Town 1
Winchester City 3
Evesham 2
Hadley 2
Steyning Town 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
AFC Totton 5
Sholing 1
Eastbourne United 2
Epsom 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Beckenham Town 4
Cray Wanderers 5
Newhaven FC 1
Chatham 1
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Frome Town 3
Clevedon 1
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Kirkley & Pakefield 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hornchurch 5
Fakenham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Bedford 5
Walthamstow FC 0
Heybridge 1
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Cheshunt 0
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Leatherhead 1
Horsham FC 2
Marlow 2
Croydon Athletic 0
Knaphill 1
Hanwell Town 0
Hythe 0
Hanworth Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Erith & Belvedere 1
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Haringey Borough 3
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Yeovil -
TBD -
AFC Stoneham 5
Basingstoke 4
Didcot 5
Tadley Calleva 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Whitstable Town 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
Farnborough -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 5
Lowestoft 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Flackwell Heath 1
Farnham 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Chesham 3
Hendon 2
Margate 3
Hartley Wintney 0
Folkestone 4
Harrow Borough 0
Bracknell Town 2
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Horndean 3
Bideford 0
Poole Town 3
Barnstaple Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Sevenoaks 1
Whitehawk 2
Redhill 1
Herne Bay 0
Okehampton Argyle 1
Highworth 3
TBD -
Weymouth -
Larkhall 3
Moneyfields 0
TBD -
Bath City -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laverstock & Ford 2
Gosport Borough 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Cribbs 2
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Lancing 2
Carshalton 5
Kingstonian 4
Lydd Town 1
Binfield 2
Northwood 3
Uxbridge 0
Cray Valley 3
Halesowen 7
Rugby Borough 0
Alvechurch 1
Basford Utd. 0
Enfield Town 3
Potters 0
Woodford Town 1
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 5
Bashley 3
Salisbury 3
Bridgwater United 2
Hayes & Yeading 2
Chertsey Town 1
TBD -
Slough Town -
Brightlingsea 2
Sawbridgeworth 0
Billericay 7
Stowmarket Town 0
Leiston 2
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
St. Albans -
Merthyr Town 5
Yate 1
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Sheppey United 3
Kennington 1
Burgess Hill 2
Bognor Regis 0
Quarter-finals
Darlington FC 3
Workington 1
Farsley 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Albion Sports 1
Spennymoor 3
Marine 4
Blyth Spartans 4
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 0
Worksop 3
Rushall 3
Carlton Town 2
Boston United 4
Leamington 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
South Shields 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Hereford 2
Anstey Nomads 0
Biggleswade FC 1
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 3
Redditch 1
Hashtag 0
Needham Market 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford 4
Biggleswade Town 6
Barton 5
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 3
Sudbury 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 0
Cleethorpes 2
Alfreton 4
Mossley AFC 2
AFC Emley 4
Macclesfield 2
Buxton 0
United of Manchester 0
Warrington Rylands 4
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Chester 3
Nantwich 2
Banbury 1
Barwell 1
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 4
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 2
Prescot Cables 1
Morpeth 3
Southport 0
Warrington Town 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Chorley 4
Coalville Town 2
Stafford 1
Tamworth 2
Harborough 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 4
Marske United 1
Ashton United 5
Atherton Collieries 3
Stourbridge 2
Matlock 0
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Lewes 2
Southall FC 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Wimborne 0
Torquay 3
Chippenham Town 1
Hungerford 4
Reading City 2
Winchester City 5
Steyning Town 1
Maidstone 4
Gloucester City 0
AFC Totton 3
Eastbourne United 1
Berkhamsted Town 3
Cray Wanderers 4
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 3
Frome Town 4
King’s Lynn 0
Aveley 4
FC Witham Town 1
Hornchurch 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Bedford 2
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 5
Marlow 3
Knaphill 0
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 3
Hastings 2
Haringey Borough 4
Tonbridge 2
Yeovil 7
AFC Stoneham 1
Didcot 2
Bristol Manor Farm 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Wingate & Finchley 0
Farnborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Truro 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 2
Braintree 4
Scunthorpe 1
Brackley 3
Farnham 1
Chesham 2
Margate 5
Folkestone 3
Bracknell Town 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Horndean 0
Poole Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough 0
Worthing FC 1
Whitehawk 4
Redhill 0
Highworth 1
Weymouth 3
Larkhall 2
Bath City 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 3
Cribbs 0
Dartford 2
Welling 3
Carshalton 4
Kingstonian 0
Northwood 5
Cray Valley 6
Halesowen 5
Alvechurch 2
Enfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 0
Salisbury 5
Hayes & Yeading 0
Slough Town 2
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 3
Leiston 1
St. Albans 2
Merthyr Town 3
Taunton Town 2
Sheppey United 3
Burgess Hill 0
Semi-finals
Darlington FC 1
Scarborough Athletic 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Marine 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Worksop 6
Rushall 0
Boston United 1
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
South Shields 0
Hereford 3
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 3
Barton 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Hitchin 0
Kettering 1
Alfreton 1
AFC Emley 0
Macclesfield 2
Warrington Rylands 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Chester 2
Nantwich 1
Bromsgrove 2
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 1
Morpeth 0
Curzon Ashton 2
Chorley 1
Coalville Town 0
Tamworth 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Lancaster 0
Ashton United 2
Stourbridge 2
Mickleover 0
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Lewes 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Torquay 5
Hungerford 0
Winchester City 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Ramsgate 2
Frome Town 1
Aveley 4
Hornchurch 3
TBD -
Barnet -
Gorleston 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 3
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 2
Haringey Borough 1
Yeovil 2
Didcot 0
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Farnborough 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Braintree 3
Brackley 2
Chesham 2
Margate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Worthing FC 2
Whitehawk 1
Weymouth 1
Bath City 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 4
Welling 6
Carshalton 4
Cray Valley 5
Halesowen 1
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Salisbury 0
Slough Town 3
Billericay 1
St. Albans 0
Merthyr Town 1
Sheppey United 4
Final
Scarborough Athletic 5
Oxford City 4
Altrincham 0
Oldham 1
Halifax 0
Marine 1
Worksop 3
Boston United 2
AFC Fylde 3
Leek Town 1
Hereford 1
Rochdale 0
York City 1
Needham Market 0
Solihull Moors 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Chesterfield 5
Kettering 0
Alfreton 3
Macclesfield 1
Hartlepool 0
Chester 2
Chelmsford 3
Whitby 5
Curzon Ashton 1
Tamworth 0
Kidderminster 2
Ashton United 0
Stourbridge 0
Gateshead 3
Aldershot 4
Lewes 1
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 0
Ramsgate 1
Aveley 2
Barnet 6
Hemel Hempstead 0
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
Dorking Wanderers 0
Eastleigh 1
Dover Ath. 0
Yeovil 2
Southend 0
Bromley 3
Wealdstone 2
Weston-super-Mare 0
Maidenhead 3
Braintree 1
Chesham 3
Bracknell Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Worthing FC 2
Bath City 0
Boreham Wood 1
Welling 0
Cray Valley 5
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Slough Town 4
Billericay 2
Sheppey United 3