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Chelsea U19 vs AC Milan U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Simic J.
Assist: Traore C.
61'
Sub
Eletu V. In: Pluvio N.
Out: Eletu V.
61'
Sub
Mangiameli F. In: Longhi J.
Out: Mangiameli F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chelsea U19
6%
Draws
4%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chelsea U19 have won more games recently than AC Milan U19.
  • Win probability leans Chelsea U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 18%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 3.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2022 UEFA Youth League
AC Milan U19 vs Chelsea U19
3:1
Oct 5, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:1
Feb 25, 2014 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs AC Milan U19
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castledine L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Simic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 85 / 100
AC Milan U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 AC Milan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea U19 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

AC Milan U19 let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chelsea U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS AC Milan U19
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

AC Milan U19

(Away)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liverpool U19650120:815
2Ajax U19641117:1013
3Rangers U19620413:206
4Napoli U1960157:191
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid U19650114:415
2FC Porto U19640211:712
3Club Brugge U19630310:99
4Leverkusen U1960063:180
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona U19642018:714
2Inter U19621310:147
3Bayern U19613213:136
4Plzen U1961238:155
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting CP U19642013:314
2Eintracht Frankfurt U1963219:611
3Tottenham U1962049:106
4Marseille U1960245:172
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AC Milan U19642012:514
2Salzburg U19622211:78
3Din. Zagreb U1962047:146
4Chelsea U19612310:145
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Madrid U19651023:516
2Shakhtar U1963126:1010
3RB Leipzig U1961236:85
4Celtic U1961054:163
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City U19642016:814
2Dortmund U1962229:98
3FC Copenhagen U1962139:87
4Sevilla U1961145:144
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG U19641120:1113
2Juventus U19632117:1411
3Benfica U19621312:107
4Maccabi Haifa U1961056:203
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)