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Chelsea U19 vs Benfica U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Mheuka S.
23' Event
Mheuka S.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Umeh J.

AI Match Summary

Chelsea U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Chelsea U19
20%
Draws
45%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Benfica U19 have won more games recently than Chelsea U19.
  • Model gives Chelsea U19 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Benfica U19
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.14 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Benfica U19
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mheuka S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kavuma McQueen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Umeh J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banjaqui D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 34 / 100
Benfica U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U19's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Benfica U19 let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Chelsea U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS Benfica U19
0 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Benfica U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U19 6 5 1 0 23:9 16
2 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 26:7 15
3 Club Brugge U19 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
4 Real Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:7 15
5 Villarreal U19 6 5 0 1 12:7 15
6 Ath Bilbao U19 6 4 2 0 17:7 14
7 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:8 13
8 Barcelona U19 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
9 Tottenham U19 6 4 0 2 28:14 12
10 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 18:8 12
11 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 13:8 12
12 Sporting CP U19 6 3 3 0 13:10 12
13 PSG U19 6 3 2 1 17:8 11
14 Inter U19 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
15 Ajax U19 6 3 1 2 24:16 10
16 Liverpool U19 6 3 1 2 8:13 10
17 Leverkusen U19 6 3 1 2 9:16 10
18 Monaco U19 6 3 0 3 20:10 9
19 PSV U19 6 2 2 2 13:9 8
20 Slavia Prague U19 6 2 2 2 16:17 8
21 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 2 1 3 15:13 7
22 Marseille U19 6 2 1 3 12:11 7
23 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
24 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 2 1 3 8:10 7
25 Napoli U19 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
26 Juventus U19 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
27 Bayern U19 6 1 1 4 10:16 4
28 Kairat Almaty U19 6 1 1 4 8:15 4
29 Atalanta U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
30 Pafos U19 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
31 Royale Union SG U19 6 1 1 4 7:18 4
32 Galatasaray U19 6 1 1 4 6:21 4
33 Arsenal U19 6 1 0 5 11:18 3
34 Newcastle Utd U19 6 0 0 6 6:17 0
35 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 0 0 6 4:31 0
36 Qarabag Agdam U19 6 0 0 6 1:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)