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Chelsea U19 vs Din. Zagreb U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Castledine L.
46'
Sub
Majdandzic P. In: Cvetko I.
Out: Majdandzic P.
46'
Sub
Sakota M. In: Culjak F.
Out: Sakota M.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 game between Chelsea U19 and Din. Zagreb U19 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelsea U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chelsea U19
30%
Draws
23%
Din. Zagreb U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea U19's 2.26 goals per match outpaces what Din. Zagreb U19 have produced (1.97).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chelsea U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Din. Zagreb U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Din. Zagreb U19
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.26 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Din. Zagreb U19
4:0
Sep 6, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Din. Zagreb U19 vs Chelsea U19
4:2
Apr 3, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Din. Zagreb U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castledine L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flower L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Din. Zagreb U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 84 / 100
Din. Zagreb U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Din. Zagreb U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U19 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Din. Zagreb U19 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Chelsea U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS Din. Zagreb U19
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 7

Din. Zagreb U19

(Away)
12 Feb
Barcelona U19
3 : 2
Din. Zagreb U19
10 Dec
Din. Zagreb U19
2 : 1
Celtic U19
27 Nov
Din. Zagreb U19
0 : 0
Dortmund U19
05 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb U19
23 Oct
Salzburg U19
3 : 2
Din. Zagreb U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U19 6 5 0 1 20:8 15
2 Ajax U19 6 4 1 1 17:10 13
3 Rangers U19 6 2 0 4 13:20 6
4 Napoli U19 6 0 1 5 7:19 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 FC Porto U19 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Club Brugge U19 6 3 0 3 10:9 9
4 Leverkusen U19 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona U19 6 4 2 0 18:7 14
2 Inter U19 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
3 Bayern U19 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
4 Plzen U19 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 4 2 0 13:3 14
2 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Tottenham U19 6 2 0 4 9:10 6
4 Marseille U19 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U19 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Salzburg U19 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
3 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 0 4 7:14 6
4 Chelsea U19 6 1 2 3 10:14 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 5 1 0 23:5 16
2 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 6:10 10
3 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Celtic U19 6 1 0 5 4:16 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U19 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
2 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
3 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
4 Sevilla U19 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG U19 6 4 1 1 20:11 13
2 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 17:14 11
3 Benfica U19 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
4 Maccabi Haifa U19 6 1 0 5 6:20 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)