Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelsea U19 vs Elfsborg U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2018/2019 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Brown C.
Assist: Uwakwe T.
21' Event
Redan D.
Assist: Uwakwe T.
41' Event
Brown C.
Assist: Redan D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-0, with Chelsea U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chelsea U19
15%
Draws
40%
Elfsborg U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Elfsborg U19 haven't matched Chelsea U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chelsea U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Chelsea U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Elfsborg U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Elfsborg U19
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.29 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2018 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Elfsborg U19
6:0
Nov 7, 2018 UEFA Youth League
Elfsborg U19 vs Chelsea U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Redan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Elfsborg U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 95 / 100
Elfsborg U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Elfsborg U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U19's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Elfsborg U19 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Chelsea U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 7

Elfsborg U19

(Away)
08 Dec
Elfsborg U19
0 : 3
Malmo FF U19
06 Dec
Esbjerg U19
2 : 3
Elfsborg U19
17 Nov
Sogndal U19
0 : 2
Elfsborg U19
15 Nov
Elfsborg U19
4 : 2
Mjondalen U19
23 Oct
Midtjylland U19
1 : 0
Elfsborg U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Anderlecht U19 1
Admira U19 1
Dynamo Kyiv U19 6
Septemvri Sofia U19 1
Midtjylland U19 4
Bohemians U19 2
Basel U19 4
Hamilton U19 5
Altinordu U19 3
HJK U19 2
Zilina U19 1
Montpellier U19 7
Elfsborg U19 3
KR Reykjavik U19 1
Chelsea U19 14
Molde U19 1
AEL Limassol U19 1
PAOK U19 4
FC Minsk U19 4
Illes Akademia U19 3
Gabala U19 4
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 2
Hertha U19 5
Lech Poznan U19 2
FC Astana U19 7
Vllaznia U19 1
FC Viitorul U19 0
Din. Zagreb U19 3
Sigma Olomouc U19 7
Maribor U19 3
Anzhi U19 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 5
Final
Anderlecht U19 2
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Midtjylland U19 4
Hamilton U19 1
Altinordu U19 2
Montpellier U19 5
Elfsborg U19 0
Chelsea U19 9
PAOK U19 3
FC Minsk U19 1
Gabala U19 1
Hertha U19 4
FC Astana U19 2
Din. Zagreb U19 4
Sigma Olomouc U19 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 3