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Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2015/2016 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Chelsea U19 Logo

Chelsea U19

Tue, Feb 23, 2016
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Valencia U19 Logo

Valencia U19

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Ferris M.
32'
Chalobah T.
40'
Sub
Pascual A. In: Martinez Muela I.
Out: Pascual A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Chelsea U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Chelsea U19
20%
Draws
23%
Valencia U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelsea U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chelsea U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Chelsea U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Valencia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Valencia U19
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Valencia U19 vs Chelsea U19
2:1
Sep 17, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19
3:3
Feb 23, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Valencia U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dasilva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Valencia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 84 / 100
Valencia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Valencia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U19 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Valencia U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chelsea U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS Valencia U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Valencia U19

(Away)
10 Jun
Real Madrid U19
4 : 1
Valencia U19
02 Feb
FC Liefering
2 : 1
Valencia U19
10 Dec
Ajax U19
1 : 1
Valencia U19
27 Nov
Valencia U19
2 : 1
Chelsea U19
05 Nov
Valencia U19
1 : 2
Lille U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Chelsea U19 -
TBD -
Celtic U19 1
Valencia U19 2
Lyon U19 -
TBD -
Sevilla U19 1
Ajax U19 3
Anderlecht U19 2
Arsenal U19 0
TBD -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Barcelona U19 -
TBD -
Atl. Madrid U19 4
Midtjylland U19 5
Real Madrid U19 3
Elfsborg U19 1
TBD -
Manchester City U19 -
Pribram U19 3
CSKA Moscow U19 2
TBD -
Benfica U19 -
PSG U19 -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 0
Middlesbrough U19 5
PSV U19 -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 0
AS Roma U19 4
1/8-finals
Chelsea U19 2
Valencia U19 1
Lyon U19 0
Ajax U19 3
Anderlecht U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 0
Barcelona U19 3
Midtjylland U19 1
Real Madrid U19 3
Manchester City U19 1
Pribram U19 1
Benfica U19 2
PSG U19 1
Middlesbrough U19 0
PSV U19 2
AS Roma U19 3
Quarter-finals
Chelsea U19 1
Ajax U19 0
Anderlecht U19 2
Barcelona U19 0
Real Madrid U19 2
Benfica U19 0
PSG U19 3
AS Roma U19 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea U19 3
Anderlecht U19 0
Real Madrid U19 1
PSG U19 3
Final
Chelsea U19 2
PSG U19 1