Sport Picks
Chelsea U21 vs Leeds U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Kingsmeadow, London 
Match Events
4'
4'
Mheuka S.
24'
24'
Matykiewicz L.
35'
35'
Pickles O.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Chelsea U21 and Leeds U21 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Leeds U21 haven't matched Chelsea U21's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Leeds U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U21 | Leeds U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 20, 2026 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Leeds U21
2:2
Feb 7, 2025 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Leeds U21
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League Cup
Leeds U21 vs Chelsea U21
2:3
Feb 19, 2024 Premier League 2
Leeds U21 vs Chelsea U21
0:2
Feb 2, 2024 Premier League Cup
Chelsea U21 vs Leeds U21
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mheuka S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Leeds U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lane F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chadwick-Chaplin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U21 41 / 100
Leeds U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U21 Leeds U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U21 scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Leeds U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Leeds U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U21 VS Leeds U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U21
(Home) 21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Fulham U21
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
14 Mar
Chelsea U21
4 : 0 Sunderland U21
20 Feb
Chelsea U21
2 : 2 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
Leeds U21
(Away) 23 Aug
Leeds U21
4 : 3 West Brom U21
18 Aug
Boreham Wood
5 : 2 Leeds U21
14 Aug
Stoke City U21
0 : 0 Leeds U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
03 Apr
Leeds U21
1 : 2 Manchester United U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Boreham Wood
5 : 2 Leeds U21
14 Aug
Stoke City U21
0 : 0 Leeds U21
20 Mar
Southampton U21
2 : 1 Leeds U21
09 Mar
Sunderland U21
5 : 2 Leeds U21
20 Feb
Chelsea U21
2 : 2 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
