Sport Picks
Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Kingsmeadow, London 
Match Events
8'
8'
Walsh R.
37'
37'
Dyer K.
42'
42'
Dyer K.
AI Match Summary
Chelsea U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chelsea U21 have won more games recently than Southampton U21.
- Model gives Chelsea U21 a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U21 | Southampton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21
4:2
Jan 24, 2025 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21
0:2
Apr 26, 2024 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21
2:0
Feb 29, 2016 Premier League U21
Southampton U21 vs Chelsea U21
0:0
Aug 14, 2015 Premier League U21
Chelsea U21 vs Southampton U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Walsh R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dyer K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Southampton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Charles B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sillah Dibaga S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U21 48 / 100
Southampton U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U21 Southampton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Southampton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Chelsea U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U21 VS Southampton U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U21
(Home) 19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 4
Southampton U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2 Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1 Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1 Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2 Southampton U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1 Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2 Southampton U21
21 Aug
West Ham U21
0 : 0 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
