Sport Picks
Chelsea U23 vs Derby U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London 
Match Events
39'
39'
Dixon C.
46'
46'
Sub
Nunn G. In: Wareham J.
Out: Nunn G.
50'
50'
Aghatise O.
AI Match Summary
Chelsea U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Chelsea U23 at 1.67 per game, Derby U23 at 1.55.
- Chelsea U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Chelsea U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U23 | Derby U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Chelsea U23
3:1
Oct 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Derby U23
2:0
Feb 15, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Chelsea U23
2:1
Oct 17, 2020 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Derby U23
3:2
Dec 7, 2019 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Derby U23
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer McEachran G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fiabema B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Derby U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U23 84 / 100
Derby U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U23 Derby U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U23 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Derby U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Derby U23's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U23 VS Derby U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U23
(Home) 08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1 Tottenham U23
01 May
Blackburn U23
4 : 3 Chelsea U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2 Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0 Chelsea U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0 Chelsea U23
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1 Tottenham U23
20 Mar
Chelsea U23
1 : 0 Leeds U23
11 Mar
Chelsea U23
1 : 1 West Ham U23
24 Jan
Chelsea U23
0 : 1 Manchester City U23
08 Jan
Chelsea U23
5 : 0 Leicester U23
Page 1 of 3
Derby U23
(Away) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
04 Apr
Brighton U23
5 : 1 Derby U23
21 Mar
Blackburn U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
