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Chelsea U23 vs Leeds U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London
Chelsea U23 Logo

Chelsea U23

1 - 0
FT
Leeds U23 Logo

Leeds U23

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Jenkins J.
14' Event
Ballo T.
Assist: Hughes B.
21'
Simons X.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelsea U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chelsea U23
15%
Draws
34%
Leeds U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chelsea U23 lately — more wins on the board than Leeds U23.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Chelsea U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Leeds U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U23 Leeds U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Premier League 2
Chelsea U23 vs Leeds U23
1:0
Nov 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Leeds U23 vs Chelsea U23
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Leeds U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U23 39 / 100
Leeds U23 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U23 Leeds U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea U23 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Leeds U23 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Leeds U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U23 VS Leeds U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U23

(Home)
08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1
Tottenham U23
01 May
Blackburn U23
4 : 3
Chelsea U23
25 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 2
Chelsea U23
15 Apr
Everton U23
2 : 0
Chelsea U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
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Leeds U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1
Leeds U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
15 Apr
Brighton U23
1 : 0
Leeds U23
11 Apr
West Ham U23
5 : 1
Leeds U23
04 Apr
Leeds U23
4 : 0
Crystal Palace U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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