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Chelsea W vs Notts County W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2014/2015
Chelsea W Logo

Chelsea W

1 - 0
FT
Notts County W Logo

Notts County W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Chelsea W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Chelsea W
15%
Draws
16%
Notts County W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea W come out ahead of Notts County W on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea W taking it.
  • Chelsea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Chelsea W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 19%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea W Notts County W
Matches Played 34 21
Wins 26 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.47 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.85 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 WSL
Chelsea W vs Notts County W
0:0
Nov 6, 2016 WSL
Notts County W vs Chelsea W
1:3
Sep 1, 2016 WSL
Chelsea W vs Notts County W
2:1
Sep 6, 2015 WSL
Chelsea W vs Notts County W
2:1
Aug 1, 2015 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Notts County W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea W 85 / 100
Notts County W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea W Notts County W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea W scored in 91% of their last 34 outings.

Notts County W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 21 matches.

Chelsea W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea W VS Notts County W
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea W

(Home)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
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Notts County W

(Away)
02 Aug
Notts County W
0 : 3
Peterborough W
03 Nov
Notts County W
0 : 5
Sporting Khalsa W
09 Jul
Notts County W
0 : 6
Milton Keynes Dons W
26 Mar
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Notts County W
19 Mar
Notts County W
3 : 2
Yeovil W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Portsmouth W 1
London City Lionesses W 4
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Watford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
Manchester City W -
TBD -
Bradford City W 1
Doncaster W 2
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Everton W -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol City W -
Stoke City LFC W 1
Coventry United W 3
Charlton W 4
Crystal Palace W 3
Notts County W -
TBD -
Derby W 0
Tottenham W 3
Aston Villa W 2
Yeovil W 1
Sheffield Wed W 4
Radcliffe Olympic W 0
1/8-finals
London City Lionesses W 0
Arsenal W 7
Chelsea W 6
Watford W 0
Manchester City W 3
Doncaster W 1
Birmingham W 3
Liverpool W 1
Everton W 2
Bristol City W 1
Coventry United W 1
Charlton W 2
Notts County W 4
Tottenham W 0
Aston Villa W 2
Sheffield Wed W 0
Quarter-finals
Arsenal W 1
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Birmingham W 1
Everton W 2
Charlton W 1
Notts County W 5
Aston Villa W 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea W 1
Manchester City W 0
Everton W 0
Notts County W 3
Final
Chelsea W 1
Notts County W 0