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Chelsea W vs Tottenham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2025/2026 Kingsmeadow, London
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Spence D.
27'
Nilden A.
33'
Tandberg C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Chelsea W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chelsea W
15%
Draws
35%
Tottenham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea W come out ahead of Tottenham W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chelsea W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Chelsea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chelsea W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 68%
Tottenham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea W Tottenham W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 26 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.47 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 WSL
Tottenham W vs Chelsea W
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 WSL
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
1:0
May 4, 2025 WSL
Tottenham W vs Chelsea W
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 WSL
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerr S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buurman V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tottenham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Summanen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea W 86 / 100
Tottenham W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea W Tottenham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea W scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Chelsea W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tottenham W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea W VS Tottenham W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea W

(Home)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 7

Tottenham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Tottenham W
1 : 6
London City Lionesses W
30 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1
Tottenham W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1
West Ham W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7
Tottenham W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hashtag W 1
Oxford Utd W 2
Luton W 3
Mansfield W 0
Plymouth W 7
Maidstone W 0
Winchester City W 0
Gwalia United W 4
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 0
Northampton W 3
Sudbury W 2
South Shields W 0
AFC Fylde W 5
Kidderminster W 1
Redditch Borough FC W 0
Charlton W -
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Actonians W 0
Watford W 5
Saltdean United W 1
Bromley W 0
Leafield Athletic W 8
Crusaders W 0
Port Vale W 1
Worcester W 2
Oxford City W 4
Sherborne Town W 2
Swindon W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 0
Dartford W 5
Forest Green W 1
Keynsham Town W 1
Bournemouth Sports W 0
London Bees W 5
Barking W 3
Portishead Town W 1
Billericay W 0
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 4
Wythenshawe FC W 2
Leeds W 5
St Helens W 1
Solihull Moors W 0
West Brom W 3
Nottingham University W 1
Cambridge Utd W 2
TBD -
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 3
International Soccer Academy W 2
Durham Cestria W 6
Dronfield Town W 1
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Stourbridge W 3
Halifax W 1
Hull City W 4
Birmingham W -
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Sporting Khalsa W 2
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Hednesford W 2
SJR Worksop W 1
Bowers & Pitsea W 3
Wimborne W 2
Brentford W 1
Sutton W 2
Torquay W 0
Exeter W 6
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Chatham W 4
Bolton W 1
Ponteland United W 2
Penrith W 2
Altrincham W 3
York City W 1
Leeds Modernians W 0
Wroxham W 3
Lye Town W 0
Farnham W 0
Leyton Orient W 8
Millbrook W 0
Bournemouth W 11
Haringey Borough W 0
Bristol Rovers W 3
Fulham W 5
South London W 0
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 6
Gloucester City W 2
Worthing FC W 4
Abingdon W 1
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Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Millwall W 0
Cheltenham W 2
Lewes W 4
Corsham Town W 0
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Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 12
Blackburn W 0
Stevenage W 3
Norwich W 4
Peterborough W 4
Real Bedford W 1
Manchester Laces W 1
Wallsend W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 0
Derby W 6
Stockport W 3
Tranmere W 0
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Wycombe W 1
Bridgwater United W 2
Royston Town W 1
Coundon Court W 0
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
TBD -
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Liverpool Feds W 4
Chester-Le-Street Town W 0
Crewe W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 2
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Rugby Borough W 1
Stoke City LFC W 7
Sutton Coldfield Town W 0
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Nottingham W -
1/64-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Luton W 1
Plymouth W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
Northampton W 0
AFC Fylde W 4
Kidderminster W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
Watford W 4
Saltdean United W 0
Leafield Athletic W 2
Worcester W 1
Oxford City W 0
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
London Bees W 5
Portishead Town W 0
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 1
Leeds W 3
West Brom W 2
Cambridge Utd W 0
TBD -
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 2
Durham Cestria W 1
Stourbridge W 1
Hull City W 7
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Hednesford W 0
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Sutton W 3
Exeter W 2
Chatham W 3
Ponteland United W 0
Altrincham W 1
York City W 3
Wroxham W 1
Leyton Orient W 1
Bournemouth W 7
Bristol Rovers W 1
Fulham W 3
TBD -
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 4
Worthing FC W 1
TBD -
Ipswich W -
Durham W -
TBD -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Cheltenham W 0
Lewes W 4
TBD -
Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 4
Norwich W 0
Peterborough W 4
Wallsend W 0
Derby W 4
Stockport W 1
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Bridgwater United W 1
Royston Town W 2
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Liverpool Feds W 5
Boldmere St Michaels W 0
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Stoke City LFC W 0
TBD -
Nottingham W -
1/32-finals
Oxford Utd W 2
Plymouth W 1
Middlesbrough W 3
AFC Fylde W 0
Charlton W 3
Watford W 2
Leafield Athletic W 2
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
London Bees W 3
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Leeds W 0
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 1
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Sporting Khalsa W 0
Sutton W 0
Chatham W 3
Altrincham W 0
York City W 3
Bournemouth W 5
Fulham W 0
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 0
Ipswich W 5
Durham W 0
Sheffield Utd W 1
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Lewes W 0
Crystal Palace W 1
Manchester United W -
TBD -
Burnley W 7
Peterborough W 0
Derby W 1
Sunderland W 5
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W 10
Royston Town W 0
Bristol City W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Liverpool Feds W 0
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 1
Nottingham W 2
1/16-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Middlesbrough W 1
Charlton W 10
Swindon W 0
London Bees W 0
Liverpool W 6
West Brom W 0
Everton W 5
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Chatham W 3
York City W 0
Bournemouth W 0
Manchester City W 6
Ipswich W 1
Sheffield Utd W 2
Chelsea W 5
Crystal Palace W 0
Manchester United W 5
Burnley W 0
Sunderland W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Tottenham W 3
Leicester W 0
Arsenal W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
West Ham W 3
Brighton W 2
Nottingham W 0
1/8-finals
Oxford Utd W 0
Charlton W 1
Liverpool W 2
Everton W 1
Birmingham W 8
Chatham W 0
Manchester City W 4
Sheffield Utd W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester United W 1
London City Lionesses W 2
Tottenham W 3
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0
West Ham W 1
Brighton W 2
Quarter-finals
Charlton W 0
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 0
Brighton W 2
Chelsea W 2
Tottenham W 1
Birmingham W 0
Manchester City W 1
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 2
Brighton W 3
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Final
Brighton W 0
Manchester City W 4