Sport Picks
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield Prediction & H2H Stats
England
League Two Whaddon Road, Cheltenham 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sweeney P.
17'
17'
McCann C.
Assist: Broom R.
37'
37'
Weimann A.
Assist: Tomkinson J.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Cheltenham and Chesterfield finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheltenham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chesterfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Chesterfield carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Cheltenham's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 12%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cheltenham | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 League Two
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Chesterfield
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 League Two
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer McCann C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Weimann A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Marsh L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cheltenham 35 / 100
Chesterfield 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cheltenham Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cheltenham's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Chesterfield has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Cheltenham VS Chesterfield
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cheltenham
(Home) 26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0 York City
15 Sept
Chesterfield
5 : 3 Manchester City U21
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Salford
0 : 1 Chesterfield
08 Aug
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Crewe | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 6 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Rochdale | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 12 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Swindon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Newport | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 20 | Exeter | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 21 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
