Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
McCann C.
Assist: Evans J.
28'
28'
Tomkinson J.
41'
41'
Weimann A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Cheltenham and Grimsby finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cheltenham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Grimsby carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Cheltenham a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 14%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cheltenham | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Grimsby
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Grimsby
0:2
Sep 27, 2025 League Two
Grimsby vs Cheltenham
7:1
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Grimsby
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Cheltenham
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer McCann C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Grimsby Compare
Top Goalscorer Shelton M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Green K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cheltenham 41 / 100
Grimsby 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cheltenham Grimsby
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cheltenham scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Grimsby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cheltenham VS Grimsby
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cheltenham
(Home) 26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Exeter
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 4
Grimsby
(Away) 26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Accrington
2 : 2 Grimsby
22 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
