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Stadium Background

Cheltenham W vs Lewes W

England England

Women’s FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Cheltenham W
30%
Draws
58%
Lewes W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lewes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lewes W lately — more wins on the board than Cheltenham W.
  • Model gives Lewes W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Lewes W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cheltenham W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W Lewes W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.34 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Cheltenham W
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Cheltenham W
6:0
Nov 23, 2025 Women’s FA Cup
Cheltenham W vs Lewes W
0:4
Nov 2, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Lewes W
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Lewes W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 10 / 100
Lewes W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W Lewes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Lewes W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cheltenham W scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Cheltenham W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham W VS Lewes W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham W

(Home)
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
Cheltenham W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
Page 1 of 6

Lewes W

(Away)
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
16 Aug
Lewes W
1 : 1
Hashtag W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hashtag W 1
Oxford Utd W 2
Luton W 3
Mansfield W 0
Plymouth W 7
Maidstone W 0
Winchester City W 0
Gwalia United W 4
Middlesbrough W 4
Cheadle Town W 0
Northampton W 3
Sudbury W 2
South Shields W 0
AFC Fylde W 5
Kidderminster W 1
Redditch Borough FC W 0
Charlton W -
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Actonians W 0
Watford W 5
Saltdean United W 1
Bromley W 0
Leafield Athletic W 8
Crusaders W 0
Port Vale W 1
Worcester W 2
Oxford City W 4
Sherborne Town W 2
Swindon W 1
Dulwich Hamlet W 0
Dartford W 5
Forest Green W 1
Keynsham Town W 1
Bournemouth Sports W 0
London Bees W 5
Barking W 3
Portishead Town W 1
Billericay W 0
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 4
Wythenshawe FC W 2
Leeds W 5
St Helens W 1
Solihull Moors W 0
West Brom W 3
Nottingham University W 1
Cambridge Utd W 2
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 3
International Soccer Academy W 2
Durham Cestria W 6
Dronfield Town W 1
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Stourbridge W 3
Halifax W 1
Hull City W 4
Birmingham W -
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Sporting Khalsa W 2
Loughborough Lightning W 1
Hednesford W 2
SJR Worksop W 1
Bowers & Pitsea W 3
Wimborne W 2
Brentford W 1
Sutton W 2
Torquay W 0
Exeter W 6
AFC Wimbledon W 3
Chatham W 4
Bolton W 1
Ponteland United W 2
Penrith W 2
Altrincham W 3
York City W 1
Leeds Modernians W 0
Wroxham W 3
Lye Town W 0
Farnham W 0
Leyton Orient W 8
Millbrook W 0
Bournemouth W 11
Haringey Borough W 0
Bristol Rovers W 3
Fulham W 5
South London W 0
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 6
Gloucester City W 2
Worthing FC W 4
Abingdon W 1
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Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Millwall W 0
Cheltenham W 2
Lewes W 4
Corsham Town W 0
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Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 12
Blackburn W 0
Stevenage W 3
Norwich W 4
Peterborough W 4
Real Bedford W 1
Manchester Laces W 1
Wallsend W 3
Coventry Sphinx W 0
Derby W 6
Stockport W 3
Tranmere W 0
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Wycombe W 1
Bridgwater United W 2
Royston Town W 1
Coundon Court W 0
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Liverpool Feds W 4
Chester-Le-Street Town W 0
Crewe W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 2
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Rugby Borough W 1
Stoke City LFC W 7
Sutton Coldfield Town W 0
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Nottingham W -
1/64-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Luton W 1
Plymouth W 2
Gwalia United W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
Northampton W 0
AFC Fylde W 4
Kidderminster W 0
Charlton W -
TBD -
Watford W 4
Saltdean United W 0
Leafield Athletic W 2
Worcester W 1
Oxford City W 0
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
Keynsham Town W 1
London Bees W 5
Portishead Town W 0
TBD -
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Liverpool W -
Huddersfield W 1
Leeds W 3
West Brom W 2
Cambridge Utd W 0
TBD -
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Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 2
Durham Cestria W 1
Stourbridge W 1
Hull City W 7
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Hednesford W 0
Bowers & Pitsea W 2
Sutton W 3
Exeter W 2
Chatham W 3
Ponteland United W 0
Altrincham W 1
York City W 3
Wroxham W 1
Leyton Orient W 1
Bournemouth W 7
Bristol Rovers W 1
Fulham W 3
TBD -
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Manchester City W -
Portchester W 4
Worthing FC W 1
TBD -
Ipswich W -
Durham W -
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Sheffield Utd W -
Chelsea W -
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Cheltenham W 0
Lewes W 4
TBD -
Crystal Palace W -
Manchester United W -
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Burnley W 4
Norwich W 0
Peterborough W 4
Wallsend W 0
Derby W 4
Stockport W 1
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Sunderland W -
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London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
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Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
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Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W -
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Bridgwater United W 1
Royston Town W 2
Bristol City W -
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Portsmouth W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Liverpool Feds W 5
Boldmere St Michaels W 0
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West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
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Wolverhampton W 2
Stoke City LFC W 0
TBD -
Nottingham W -
1/32-finals
Oxford Utd W 2
Plymouth W 1
Middlesbrough W 3
AFC Fylde W 0
Charlton W 3
Watford W 2
Leafield Athletic W 2
Swindon W 3
Dartford W 2
London Bees W 3
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Leeds W 0
West Brom W 3
TBD -
Everton W -
Mancunian Unity W 1
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Sporting Khalsa W 0
Sutton W 0
Chatham W 3
Altrincham W 0
York City W 3
Bournemouth W 5
Fulham W 0
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Portchester W 0
Ipswich W 5
Durham W 0
Sheffield Utd W 1
Chelsea W -
TBD -
Lewes W 0
Crystal Palace W 1
Manchester United W -
TBD -
Burnley W 7
Peterborough W 0
Derby W 1
Sunderland W 5
TBD -
London City Lionesses W -
Tottenham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Leicester W -
Arsenal W -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa W -
Southampton FC W 10
Royston Town W 0
Bristol City W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Newcastle Utd W 4
Liverpool Feds W 0
TBD -
West Ham W -
Brighton W -
TBD -
Wolverhampton W 1
Nottingham W 2
1/16-finals
Oxford Utd W 3
Middlesbrough W 1
Charlton W 10
Swindon W 0
London Bees W 0
Liverpool W 6
West Brom W 0
Everton W 5
Hull City W 2
Birmingham W 6
Chatham W 3
York City W 0
Bournemouth W 0
Manchester City W 6
Ipswich W 1
Sheffield Utd W 2
Chelsea W 5
Crystal Palace W 0
Manchester United W 5
Burnley W 0
Sunderland W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Tottenham W 3
Leicester W 0
Arsenal W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Southampton FC W 1
Bristol City W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
West Ham W 3
Brighton W 2
Nottingham W 0
1/8-finals
Oxford Utd W 0
Charlton W 1
Liverpool W 2
Everton W 1
Birmingham W 8
Chatham W 0
Manchester City W 4
Sheffield Utd W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester United W 1
London City Lionesses W 2
Tottenham W 3
Arsenal W 3
Bristol City W 0
West Ham W 1
Brighton W 2
Quarter-finals
Charlton W 0
Liverpool W 1
Arsenal W 0
Brighton W 2
Chelsea W 2
Tottenham W 1
Birmingham W 0
Manchester City W 1
Semi-finals
Liverpool W 2
Brighton W 3
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 3
Final
Brighton W 0
Manchester City W 4