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Cheltenham W vs Reading W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2023/2024 Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cooper D.
11' Event
Wade L.
46' Event
Wellings C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Reading W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cheltenham W
30%
Draws
47%
Reading W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Reading W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cheltenham W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cheltenham W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Cheltenham W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Reading W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
Reading W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W Reading W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.37 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2023 Women’s FA Cup
Cheltenham W vs Reading W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheltenham W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Reading W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellings C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cooper D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 40 / 100
Reading W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W Reading W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cheltenham W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Reading W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Reading W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham W VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cheltenham W
2 : 2
Hashtag W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
Page 1 of 6

Reading W

(Away)
03 Nov
Aylesford W
3 : 1
Reading W
28 Apr
Watford W
3 : 2
Reading W
21 Apr
Reading W
1 : 0
Durham W
14 Apr
Blackburn W
0 : 0
Reading W
31 Mar
Reading W
1 : 4
Blackburn W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Gwalia United W 0
Cheltenham W 3
Helston Athletic W 0
Exeter W 8
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Reading W -
York City W 0
United of Manchester W 2
Hull City W 3
Halifax W 1
Wolverhampton W 8
Stourbridge W 0
Wroxham W 1
Peterborough W 2
Thetford W 2
Enfield Town W 4
Harpenden Town W 0
Luton W 3
Bristol Rovers W 3
Portishead Town W 1
Marine Academy Plymouth W 3
Keynsham Town W 4
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Brighton W -
Sunderland W -
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Barnsley W 0
Liverpool Feds W 3
AFC Fylde W 0
Durham Cestria W 1
Chesham W 2
Ebbsfleet W 3
Fulham W 1
Portsmouth W 9
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Southampton FC W -
Manchester United W -
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Wigan W 0
Chorley W 4
Mancunian Unity W 2
Newcastle Utd W 9
Stoke City LFC W 6
Dunton & Broughton Utd W 0
York Railway Institute W 0
Stockport W 3
Plymouth W 13
Ilminster W 0
Sticker W 0
AFC Stoneham W 4
Woodley United W 0
Oxford Utd W 4
Dartford W 3
Abingdon W 1
Nottingham W 7
Sheffield FC W 0
Sporting Khalsa W 3
Crewe W 0
Norwich W 1
Hashtag W 0
Boldmere St Michaels W 13
Wyberton Wildcats W 0
Aston Villa W -
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Everton W -
Chelsea W -
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West Ham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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Haywards Heath W 2
Chatham W 4
Saltdean United W 1
AFC Wimbledon W 2
Leeds Modernians W 2
AFC Darwen W 4
West Didsbury & Chorlton W 2
Leeds W 6
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Blackburn W -
Tottenham W -
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Doncaster W 0
Rugby Borough W 2
Leek Town W 1
Solihull Moors W 4
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Sheffield Utd W -
Northampton W 0
Ipswich W 6
Sutton Coldfield Town W 8
Chesterfield W 0
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Lewes W -
Swindon W 6
Sherborne Town W 0
Bournemouth W 5
Bridgwater W 0
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Charlton W -
Arsenal W -
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Southampton Women's W 4
Brentford W 3
Sutton W 3
Maidenhead W 4
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Watford W -
West Brom W 8
Lye Town W 2
Dussindale & Hellesdon W 3
Needham Market W 4
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Durham W -
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Manchester City W -
London City Lionesses W -
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Real Bedford W 0
Billericay W 5
Dulwich Hamlet W 2
London Bees W 0
Hertford Town W 1
Haringey Borough W 3
Moneyfields W 6
Ashford Town W 3
Denham United W 2
Millwall W 3
Bromley W 3
Portchester W 2
Bristol City W -
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Liverpool W -
Norton & Stockton W 0
Chester-Le-Street Town W 1
Blackpool W 0
Spennymoor W 1
Lincoln W 1
Derby W 5
Lincoln Utd. W 1
Loughborough Lightning W 2
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Leicester W -
Beaumont Park W 0
Leafield Athletic W 4
Coundon Court W 3
Leamington Lions W 0
Burnley W 2
Huddersfield W 1
Gateshead W 1
Alnwick Town W 2
Rotherham W 0
Worcester W 5
Cambridge Utd W 1
Milton Keynes Dons W 2
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Birmingham W -
1/64-finals
Cheltenham W 3
Exeter W 2
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Reading W -
United of Manchester W 2
Hull City W 3
Wolverhampton W 7
Peterborough W 0
Enfield Town W 3
Luton W 5
Bristol Rovers W 1
Keynsham Town W 2
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Brighton W -
Sunderland W -
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Liverpool Feds W 0
Durham Cestria W 1
Ebbsfleet W 0
Portsmouth W 7
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Southampton FC W -
Manchester United W -
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Chorley W 0
Newcastle Utd W 5
Stoke City LFC W 1
Stockport W 0
Plymouth W 4
AFC Stoneham W 2
Oxford Utd W 2
Dartford W 0
Nottingham W 3
Sporting Khalsa W 2
Norwich W 1
Boldmere St Michaels W 2
Aston Villa W -
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Everton W -
Chelsea W -
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West Ham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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Chatham W 5
AFC Wimbledon W 4
AFC Darwen W 2
Leeds W 1
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Blackburn W -
Tottenham W -
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Rugby Borough W 7
Solihull Moors W 1
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Sheffield Utd W -
Ipswich W 8
Sutton Coldfield Town W 0
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Lewes W -
Swindon W 1
Bournemouth W 2
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Charlton W -
Arsenal W -
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Southampton Women's W 3
Maidenhead W 0
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Watford W -
West Brom W 3
Needham Market W 0
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Durham W -
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Manchester City W -
London City Lionesses W -
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Billericay W 2
Dulwich Hamlet W 1
Haringey Borough W 1
Moneyfields W 3
Millwall W 2
Bromley W 0
Bristol City W -
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Liverpool W -
Chester-Le-Street Town W 3
Spennymoor W 2
Derby W 4
Loughborough Lightning W 1
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Leicester W -
Leafield Athletic W 1
Coundon Court W 2
Burnley W 9
Alnwick Town W 1
Worcester W 0
Milton Keynes Dons W 3
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Birmingham W -
1/32-finals
Cheltenham W 0
Reading W 4
Hull City W 1
Wolverhampton W 4
Luton W 1
Keynsham Town W 0
TBD -
Brighton W -
Sunderland W 7
Durham Cestria W 0
Portsmouth W 1
Southampton FC W 2
Manchester United W -
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Newcastle Utd W 5
Stoke City LFC W 0
Plymouth W 3
Oxford Utd W 2
Nottingham W 3
Boldmere St Michaels W 1
Aston Villa W -
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Everton W -
Chelsea W -
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West Ham W -
Crystal Palace W 6
Chatham W 0
AFC Darwen W 0
Blackburn W 4
Tottenham W -
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Rugby Borough W 2
Sheffield Utd W 3
Ipswich W 3
Lewes W 0
Bournemouth W 0
Charlton W 6
Arsenal W -
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Southampton Women's W 1
Watford W 6
West Brom W 0
Durham W 5
TBD -
Manchester City W -
London City Lionesses W 6
Billericay W 0
Moneyfields W 1
Millwall W 0
Bristol City W -
TBD -
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Liverpool W -
Chester-Le-Street Town W 1
Derby W 5
TBD -
Leicester W -
Coundon Court W 0
Burnley W 11
Milton Keynes Dons W 0
Birmingham W 2
1/16-finals
Reading W 1
Wolverhampton W 2
Luton W 0
Brighton W 6
Sunderland W 0
Southampton FC W 2
Manchester United W 5
Newcastle Utd W 0
Plymouth W 1
Nottingham W 6
Aston Villa W 0
Everton W 3
Chelsea W 3
West Ham W 1
Crystal Palace W 3
Blackburn W 1
Tottenham W 3
Sheffield Utd W 2
Ipswich W 1
Charlton W 4
Arsenal W 5
Watford W 1
Durham W 0
Manchester City W 4
London City Lionesses W 4
Moneyfields W 0
Bristol City W 0
Liverpool W 1
Derby W 0
Leicester W 4
Burnley W 1
Birmingham W 3
1/8-finals
Wolverhampton W 1
Brighton W 4
Southampton FC W 1
Manchester United W 3
Nottingham W 1
Everton W 7
Chelsea W 1
Crystal Palace W 0
Tottenham W 1
Charlton W 0
Arsenal W 0
Manchester City W 1
London City Lionesses W 0
Liverpool W 2
Leicester W 6
Birmingham W 2
Quarter-finals
Brighton W 0
Manchester United W 4
Everton W 0
Chelsea W 1
Tottenham W 2
Manchester City W 1
Liverpool W 0
Leicester W 2
Semi-finals
Manchester United W 2
Chelsea W 1
Tottenham W 2
Leicester W 1
Final
Manchester United W 4
Tottenham W 0