Sport Picks
Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia
FNL 2025/2026 Central Stadium, Chelyabinsk 
Match Events
3'
3'
Mironov D.
13'
13'
Levin G.
20'
20'
Zhamaletdinov T.
AI Match Summary
The FNL 2025/2026 game between Chelyabinsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelyabinsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Shinnik Yaroslavl come out ahead of Chelyabinsk on wins alone.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Chelyabinsk taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelyabinsk | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 15 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Chelyabinsk
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelyabinsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Levin G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zhamaletdinov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Shinnik Yaroslavl Compare
Top Goalscorer Mironov D.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelyabinsk 50 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelyabinsk Shinnik Yaroslavl
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelyabinsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelyabinsk found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: Chelyabinsk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Shinnik Yaroslavl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Chelyabinsk VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelyabinsk
(Home) 26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
15 Aug
Chelyabinsk
0 : 4 Torpedo Moscow
25 Jul
Chelyabinsk
1 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
(Away) 27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1 Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1 Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2 R. Volgograd
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Yenisey
0 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
14 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 2 Shinnik Yaroslavl
02 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3 : 0 Shinnik Yaroslavl
26 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
