Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemal vs Douane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Chemal Logo

Chemal

1 - 1
FT
Douane Logo

Douane

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Mohamedou E.
78' Event
Arwel D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Chemal and Douane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chemal
35%
Draws
15%
Douane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douane come out ahead of Chemal on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Chemal taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Chemal Clean Sheet 68%
Douane Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Douane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Douane
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Chemal
0:3
Feb 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Douane
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs Chemal
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs Chemal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamedou E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Douane Compare

Top Goalscorer Arwel D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 86 / 100
Douane 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Douane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chemal scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Douane has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Chemal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Douane
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Douane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)