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Stadium Background

Chemal vs Nouakchott King's

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
El Kheir Faraji M.
52' Event
Chems Dine E.
55' Event
N'Gara S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Chemal and Nouakchott King's finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nouakchott King's.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chemal
44%
Draws
20%
Nouakchott King's
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemal come out ahead of Nouakchott King's on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chemal Clean Sheet 17%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Nouakchott King's
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nouakchott King's
3:4
Dec 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Chemal
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Chemal
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nouakchott King's
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nouakchott King's
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer El Kheir Faraji M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N'Gara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nouakchott King's Compare

Top Goalscorer Chems Dine E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fodie T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 36 / 100
Nouakchott King's 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Nouakchott King's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Chemal's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nouakchott King's has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Chemal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Nouakchott King's
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
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Nouakchott King's

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nouadhibou26177249:1558
2Nzeidane26137642:3546
3Douane26129540:2945
4Pompiers261111429:2244
5Nouakchott Academy26109732:2239
6Gendrim26910726:2937
7Chemal261061034:3536
8Nouakchott King's26810837:3434
9SNIM26712729:2833
10Tevragh-Zeina26711834:3332
11Police265111028:3126
12Kaedi26581321:3723
13Ksar26451723:4817
14Inter Nouakchott26361724:5015
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)