Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemal vs Nzeidane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Chemal Logo

Chemal

2 - 0
FT
Nzeidane Logo

Nzeidane

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Henoune Y.
41' Event
N'Gara S.
77'
Kouyate D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Chemal and Nzeidane finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chemal
30%
Draws
37%
Nzeidane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nzeidane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nzeidane are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Chemal Clean Sheet 21%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Nzeidane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nzeidane
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Chemal
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nzeidane
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Chemal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer Henoune Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N'Gara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nzeidane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 29 / 100
Nzeidane 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Nzeidane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemal's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nzeidane let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Chemal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Nzeidane
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Nzeidane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)