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Chemal vs Police

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Chemal Logo

Chemal

1 - 1
FT
Police Logo

Police

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Henoune Y.
56' Event
Ndiaye Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Chemal
20%
Draws
7%
Police
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Police haven't matched Chemal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chemal a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chemal have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chemal Clean Sheet 68%
Police Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemal Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Police vs Chemal
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Police
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Police
2:0
Nov 13, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs Chemal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer Henoune Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemal 95 / 100
Police 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemal Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Chemal scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Chemal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chemal VS Police
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemal

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)