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Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lihsek N.
32' Event
Akono C.
43' Event
Bell J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Chemie Leipzig in this Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemie Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chemie Leipzig
30%
Draws
39%
Eilenburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eilenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chemie Leipzig lately — more wins on the board than Eilenburg.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chemie Leipzig have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Eilenburg Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemie Leipzig Eilenburg
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg
3:2
Nov 21, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Eilenburg vs Chemie Leipzig
0:0
Oct 18, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Lihsek N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akono C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Eilenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kosak C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemie Leipzig 30 / 100
Eilenburg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemie Leipzig Eilenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eilenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eilenburg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chemie Leipzig scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Chemie Leipzig went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemie Leipzig VS Eilenburg
0.25 Goals Scored 2.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 86%
0% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemie Leipzig

(Home)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1
Chemie Leipzig
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Eilenburg

(Away)
25 Sept
Auerbach
3 : 2
Eilenburg
20 Sept
Eilenburg
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
12 Sept
Eilenburg
3 : 2
1.FC Frankfurt
29 Aug
Freital
1 : 3
Eilenburg
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 23 3 8 65:30 72
2 Jena 34 22 6 6 65:35 72
3 Zwickau 34 19 7 8 52:44 64
4 Hallescher 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 Erfurt 34 17 10 7 68:47 61
6 Altglienicke 34 14 11 9 50:40 53
7 Chemnitzer 34 14 9 11 56:52 51
8 BFC Preussen 34 14 8 12 50:55 50
9 Magdeburg II 34 15 4 15 61:55 49
10 Luckenwalde 34 11 10 13 36:45 43
11 Babelsberg 34 11 8 15 67:65 41
12 BFC Dynamo 34 10 10 14 45:50 40
13 Chemie Leipzig 34 12 4 18 43:49 40
14 Hertha Berlin II 34 11 7 16 46:60 40
15 Greifswalder FC 34 9 11 14 40:45 38
16 Meuselwitz 34 8 9 17 44:61 33
17 Eilenburg 34 4 11 19 35:68 23
18 Hertha Zehlendorf 34 2 8 24 30:79 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)