Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chemie Leipzig host Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga Nordost. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Chemie Leipzig have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Luckenwalde's 0.93 scored and 1.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Chemie Leipzig slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.81 - 1.13) back Chemie Leipzig to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Chemie Leipzig
20%
Draws
22%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemie Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Chemie Leipzig carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Chemie Leipzig taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemie Leipzig Luckenwalde
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.48 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde
1:3
Aug 10, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig
0:0
May 19, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemie Leipzig 76 / 100
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemie Leipzig Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemie Leipzig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luckenwalde has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Chemie Leipzig's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Chemie Leipzig went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chemie Leipzig VS Luckenwalde
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemie Leipzig

(Home)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1
Chemie Leipzig
Page 1 of 7

Luckenwalde

(Away)
02 Oct
Luckenwalde
3 : 1
Magdeburg II
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)