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Chemik Bydgoszcz vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chemik Bydgoszcz in this III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chemik Bydgoszcz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
22%
Draws
18%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chemik Bydgoszcz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz have won more games recently than KS Wierzyca Pelplin.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Chemik Bydgoszcz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Bydgoszcz KS Wierzyca Pelplin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 2
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.13 1.8
Goals Conceded 2 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
3:2
Nov 17, 2018 III Liga - Group II
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Bydgoszcz 56 / 100
KS Wierzyca Pelplin 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Bydgoszcz KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BYD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Wierzyca Pelplin let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Chemik Bydgoszcz found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Chemik Bydgoszcz remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Bydgoszcz VS KS Wierzyca Pelplin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.8
2 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 80%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan II34236586:3375
2KKS Kalisz34216770:3769
3Stezyca34216775:3769
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg34208670:4168
5KS Mieszko Gniezno341941174:5361
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341931259:4460
7Swit Szczecin341610850:3358
8B. Gdynia341831359:5057
9Kleczew341651348:5053
10Starogard Gdanski341491156:3751
11Pogon Szczecin II341431752:5945
12Gornik Konin341251746:5641
13Baltyk Koszalin341241857:7540
14Jarocin341081637:5038
15Gwardia Koszalin341032135:7133
16Chemik Bydgoszcz34932238:6630
17KS Wierzyca Pelplin34352634:8114
18Wda Swiecie34152820:938