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Chemik Police vs Gornik Konin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mielczarek P.
35' Event
Milanowski S.
77' Event
Swider J.

AI Match Summary

Gornik Konin in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gornik Konin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Chemik Police
39%
Draws
31%
Gornik Konin
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gornik Konin lately — more wins on the board than Chemik Police.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 10%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Police Gornik Konin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Chemik Police
2:2
Mar 6, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Gornik Konin
1:2
Jun 10, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Chemik Police
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Gornik Konin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Swider J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mielczarek P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milanowski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Police 29 / 100
Gornik Konin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Police Gornik Konin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Konin let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Chemik Police has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gornik Konin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Police VS Gornik Konin
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemik Police

(Home)
26 Jun
Kleczew
3 : 1
Chemik Police
19 Jun
Chemik Police
2 : 6
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
06 Jun
Chemik Police
3 : 1
KS Mieszko Gniezno
02 Jun
Gryf Wejherowo
0 : 0
Chemik Police
Page 1 of 6

Gornik Konin

(Away)
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
26 Feb
Gornik Konin
1 : 5
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Jun
Gornik Konin
4 : 0
KS Mieszko Gniezno
16 Jun
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3 : 1
Gornik Konin
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stezyca21181269:1255
2Swit Szczecin21155146:1250
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol21145247:2047
4Elana Torun21106541:2036
5Starogard Gdanski21113729:2936
6Przodkowo21105636:2335
7B. Gdynia2197531:2134
8Pogon Szczecin II21104748:3934
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg2188532:2432
10Kleczew2193933:3230
11Jarocin2185843:3329
12Baltyk Koszalin2185842:3629
13Unia Janikowo2185832:3829
14Nielba Wagrowiec2175939:3726
15Pomorzanin Torun2168720:2226
16Unia Swarzedz21741031:2525
17Gwardia Koszalin21741026:3325
18Swinoujscie2167824:3525
19Gryf Wejherowo21631231:4921
20Chemik Police21231610:639
21Gornik Konin21221714:548
22KS Mieszko Gniezno2102199:762
Promotion - Division 2 2021/2022 (Main)