Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chemik Police vs Grom Nowy Staw

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2019/2020
Sat, Apr 25, 2020
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chemik Police host Grom Nowy Staw in the III Liga - Group II 2019/2020. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Chemik Police at 1.25 goals for, 2.25 against; Grom Nowy Staw at 1.38 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Chemik Police slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.81) back Grom Nowy Staw to edge this. Grom Nowy Staw in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Chemik Police
28%
Draws
50%
Grom Nowy Staw
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Grom Nowy Staw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Grom Nowy Staw carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Grom Nowy Staw are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 11%
Grom Nowy Staw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Police Grom Nowy Staw
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 4 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Grom Nowy Staw
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Grom Nowy Staw vs Chemik Police
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Police 22 / 100
Grom Nowy Staw 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Police Grom Nowy Staw

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grom Nowy Staw has conceded goals in 83% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Chemik Police went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chemik Police's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Chemik Police VS Grom Nowy Staw
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KKS Kalisz18143141:1245
2Stezyca18117037:1040
3Swit Szczecin18116130:739
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg18130537:2239
5KS Mieszko Gniezno18113433:1736
6Unia Janikowo18103543:2933
7Kleczew1883722:2227
8Starogard Gdanski1874719:2025
9Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1865728:2423
10Pogon Szczecin II1863923:3021
11Chemik Police1863921:2721
12Gwardia Koszalin18531019:3718
13Baltyk Koszalin1845917:3517
14Nielba Wagrowiec18441022:3816
15Jarocin1836918:2415
16Gornik Konin18421222:3714
17Grom Nowy Staw18351019:3514
18B. Gdynia18311412:3710