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Chemik Police vs Jarocin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bartoszak K.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Bartoszak K.
82' Event
Niedzwiedzki M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Chemik Police and Jarocin finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jarocin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chemik Police
39%
Draws
30%
Jarocin
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Chemik Police haven't matched Jarocin's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chemik Police Clean Sheet 20%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chemik Police Jarocin
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Chemik Police
1:1
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Jarocin
0:3
May 9, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Chemik Police vs Jarocin
0:0
Oct 5, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Chemik Police
0:1
May 13, 2009 Division 2 - West
Jarocin vs Chemik Police
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chemik Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jarocin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartoszak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niedzwiedzki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chemik Police 32 / 100
Jarocin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chemik Police Jarocin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jarocin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Chemik Police went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chemik Police found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Jarocin
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chemik Police

(Home)
26 Jun
Kleczew
3 : 1
Chemik Police
19 Jun
Chemik Police
2 : 6
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
06 Jun
Chemik Police
3 : 1
KS Mieszko Gniezno
02 Jun
Gryf Wejherowo
0 : 0
Chemik Police
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Jarocin

(Away)
27 Jul
Jarocin
6 : 0
Ostrovia Ostrow
24 Jul
Jarocin
0 : 8
Barycz Sulow
17 Jun
Jarocin
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
10 Jun
B. Gdynia
4 : 0
Jarocin
03 Jun
Jarocin
3 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stezyca21181269:1255
2Swit Szczecin21155146:1250
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol21145247:2047
4Elana Torun21106541:2036
5Starogard Gdanski21113729:2936
6Przodkowo21105636:2335
7B. Gdynia2197531:2134
8Pogon Szczecin II21104748:3934
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg2188532:2432
10Kleczew2193933:3230
11Jarocin2185843:3329
12Baltyk Koszalin2185842:3629
13Unia Janikowo2185832:3829
14Nielba Wagrowiec2175939:3726
15Pomorzanin Torun2168720:2226
16Unia Swarzedz21741031:2525
17Gwardia Koszalin21741026:3325
18Swinoujscie2167824:3525
19Gryf Wejherowo21631231:4921
20Chemik Police21231610:639
21Gornik Konin21221714:548
22KS Mieszko Gniezno2102199:762
Promotion - Division 2 2021/2022 (Main)